Showing posts with label India. Show all posts
Showing posts with label India. Show all posts

Monday, April 15, 2013

U.S. and INDIA: A Tighter Alliance

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There is an ever-increasing warmth between these two countries, which is economically and politically beneficial to both parties. While those of us who are readers of The Internationalist Page Blog or just categorically Internationalists, this is a bit ironic because India has been a substantial outsourcing destination for U.S. companies and is occasionally maligned for "taking jobs away from Americans." While in a sense this might be true, the savings (arbitraging the cost of Indian labor against the much higher cost of American labor) to certain U.S. companies has helped to keep them in business in a time of extraordinarily low capital availability, and has saved some employees by keeping their employers in business.

India is also becoming more of a consumer market, and some United States companies are offsetting the outflow of dollars to India by selling U.S.-produced products to the growing middle-class in India's confusing but nonetheless fast-emerging economy.

In terms of politics, both countries have their concerns about the spread of radical Islam and terrorism from Pakistan, Afghanistan and other nations in the region.

While the cultures are quite different, both countries have some serious security and economic concerns in common, making them wonderful international trade partners.

The's a definite warming up of relations on all fronts between the two nations.

This warmth is signified (in a monetary marriage) in an excerpt below from Chairman Fred Hochberg's Quarterly Ex-Im Newsletter Report:
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Ex-Im Bank Signs $500 Million Agreement with ICICI  Bank

Chairman Hochberg traveled  to India in January on a business-development mission. While in India, the  Chairman signed a $500 million Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) with ICICI  Bank pledging cooperation on financing projects beneficial to both India and  the United States. Up to $500 million in new transactions could be financed as  a result of the initiative.

ICICI Bank is  India's largest private sector Bank and this MoU will support the financing of  U.S. goods and services by ICICI Bank's customers. Ex-Im and ICICI Bank see  specific opportunities in air traffic control and infrastructure; railway;  urban metro and port development projects; power generation, including  renewable energy; oil and gas projects; and water treatment projects.

"India  is an emerging market that provides enormous opportunities for U.S. companies," said Chairman Hochberg. "This $500 million MoU represents a  partnership between our two countries and will help ensure that American  companies and workers help India meet its growing infrastructure needs, while  creating jobs here at home."

Speaking on the  occasion, Chanda Kochhar, MD & CEO, ICICI Bank said, "ICICI Bank is pleased  to be working with the U.S. Ex-Im Bank towards the growth of India-US trade.  This MoU combines the strengths and expertise of both our institutions, helping  U.S. Ex-Im to leverage ICICI Bank's strong corporate relationships and project  finance capabilities, and ICICI Bank to offer diverse funding options to its  clients."

Ex-Im Bank's  authorizations in India continue to increase dramatically, bringing the Bank's  total exposure to India to $8.5 billion as of the end of the first quarter in  FY 2013. India is currently the Bank's second largest market in terms of  overall exposure. Last year, US Ex-Im Bank financed 17 percent of all U.S.  exports to India.
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As a trend-spotter and the Author of The Global Futurist Blog, I would expect this warming trend to continue over the next several years. Personally, I am hoping it will. Both countries can help each other, and the U.S. needs to cultivate some genuine allies in the region.

As always, thank you for reading me, and thank you for sharing my articles with your colleagues through your vast, expansive social media networks.


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Monday, December 19, 2011

International Marriages Of Convenience: "Most-Favored Nation" Trade Status

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Better than an armed conflict, but less than a ribbon-cutting. -DC

We've heard all of the cynical expressions before in reference to many types of scenarios... "Politics makes for strange bedfellows"..."I keep my friends close but my enemies closer"... "The enemy of my enemy is my friend"..."If you can't beat 'em, then join 'em." All are said haplessly. Each refers to a one-sided convenience or protection. There is a wonderful example - a genuine case-in-point to found in the recent one-sided warming of relations between Pakistan (the olive branch presenter) and India (barely noticing the branch, and too busy building its promising future). Yet, despite the skepticism surrounding the gesture, the outcome may prove to be positive in a number of ways for a number of parties.

Situational Analysis:

Pakistan, in an act of extreme, rapidly-growing desperation and insecurity, has opened its doors to free and open trade with India, its long-time nemesis, and has granted India "most Favored Nation" trading status.

Could it be that this sudden outpouring of friendly spirit might have been motivated by any of the following circumstances?

  • India's economy is thriving, its allies and trade agreements multiplying, while Pakistan is in a state of economic decline, accelerated by a slowdown in the influx of funds from the United States;
  • India is a nuclear superpower, but has been non-aggressive in its approach to military sabre rattling. Pakistan needs power, and it would be logistically advantageous to purchase it from neighboring India;
  • Pakistan has lost considerable support and credibility with the United States after Osama Bin Laden was found living in an enormous and conspicuous compound inside of Pakistan. Fueling this issue, a number of Pakistanis who cooperated with US Navy Seals in the raid on Bin Laden have been prosecuted by the Pakistani government. India, in the meanwhile, enjoys a good relationship with the United States.

Potential Consequences And Opportunities:

  • Pakistan might be able to stimulate its economy by trading, however small at first, with India;
  • Pakistan might be able to improve its political and social standing with both the United States and the United Nations by this gesture, if it withstands ethnic tensions and tests;
  • India might be a triangular trade partner for nations which are hesitant to do do business directly with Pakistan and any of its ideological allies. This is a situation which is roughly analogous to Americans who purchase Cuban cigars via Canada.

This presents an interesting potential opportunity, in theory at present, for expanded international trade and economic stimulus to Pakistan and its surrounding countries, many of which are economically destitute and politically unstable -- but it also might be a way, by accidental diplomatic proxy (i.e., via India), for some nations to trade with other nations with whom they are either restricted from direct trade, or with whom overt trading would prove "politically embarrassing" at this time.

We'll have to wait and see.

Douglas E. Castle for The Internationalist Page 



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