Showing posts with label United Nations. Show all posts
Showing posts with label United Nations. Show all posts

Friday, March 22, 2013

Chemical Weapons, The UN, Impotence And Irrelevance - Syria

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THE SAGA OF SYRIA'S HIGHLY TOXIC GASEOUS EMISSIONS

Every civil, reasonable Human Being with a modicum of compassion and a sensitive conscience abhors the use of chemical weapons. Similarly. the countries comprised of these civil Human Beings generally raise a hue and cry over news about chemical weapons. When they were used under the Hussein administration by Iraq troops on innocent civilians, there was a outcry by 'less barbaric' nations. When they were first used during WWII in Europe, reasonable, sentient, peace-loving people's throughout the world were appalled. Chlorine, Mustard Gas, Phosgene, Ricin, and other gaseous or particulate toxins have a high rate of fatalities, are impossible to contain (with an unpredictable range of effect depending upon wind and other natural factors), and will invariably produce terrible, long-lasting effects.

Now we'll explain the justification for the clever title of this article: Chemical Weapons, The UN, Impotence And Irrelevance - Syria.

Recently the United Nations Foundation Newsbrief came out with this bit of news regarding the alleged (and probable) use of poison gas in Syria:




 

 

Ban decries alleged use of chemical weapons in Syria

The Syrian government and rebels are accusing each other of using chemical weapons. In response, United Nations Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon said that he "remains convinced that the use of chemical weapons by any party (in Syria) under any circumstances would constitute an outrageous crime." GlobalPost.com/Agence France-Presse (3/19)

---------------
Here's a probable scenario, and I hope that I am wrong:

1) The UN has meetings and issues repeated pronouncements against the Assad Regime, re-stating the theme that a solution should be peacefully negotiated between the rebels faction (now recognized by much of the world as a viable alternative government);

2) Syria continues to do exactly what it's doing, and the world community becomes increasing with the UN, as the UN is an articulate mouth with very limited resources or abilities to make any threat which is truly effective. The UN drops yet another notch in the world's perception;

3)  Israel, perceiving a direct threat and realizing that the UN will not do anything to assist them from the outflow or Syrian refugees, or from the overflow of Syrian violence, will surgically strike at poison gas manufacturing and storage facilities, as well as at other military targets in Syria. The UN will probably issue some statements to Israel about its "meddling" while quietly praying to a number of deities that the Syrian crisis will end with Israel still to be cursed for what it does to protect itself, and a number of its Arab neighboring nations;

4) Israeli - Palestinian peace and territory negotiations will waver under this pressure, and there will be increased violence in Gaza;

5) The U.S., believing that some of of the supplies and support for the current Syrian Regime are being facilitated by Moscow, will commence a re-visitation of a limited, superficial cold war (comprised mostly of rhetoric, while there is still money to be made through some cooperation between the two powers) will commence.

6) The U.S. will ultimately end up (for reasons of its long-known 'evangelism of Democracy' by carrot and stick ["silver or lead"] methods, and due to its need to prop up employment statistics and use the outdated theoretical premise that war will stimulate the domestic economy and unite the country -- just ask Dick Cheney, possibly America's first true cyborg...) deploying ground troops in Syria.

7) The international but rhetorical backlash against the United States by the Islamic nations and by the United Nations will result in an angry exchange of soundbites, pontifications and condemnations. Despite this, the United States and its increasingly insecure and economically burdened "allies" will continue to try to impose democracy in Syria. Iran will condemn the Western aggressors, and Israel (of course - its a tradition) as enemies waging a war against all of Islam.

As for The Internationalist Page Blog, we'll just watch this and see how it plays out.

Don't make bets or engage in illegal gambling :-)

Douglas E. Castle

Sponsors:
CFI CrowdFunding Incubator; ICS International Connection Services and Global Edge Technologies Group LLC (http://www.GetGlobalEdge.com)






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Saturday, February 02, 2013

Palestine, Politics And The Symbols Of Statehood.

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For years, the Palestinian people have been like desert orphans. They have not had a geographical state with borders and boundaries (that has always been a severe problem), have had no recognition as a country or nation-state because governance has always been so inextricably interwoven with terrorism against Israel, the USA and the Jewish people in general.

Worse, the Palestinians were never duly absorbed into their surrounding Islamic brother nations, and they have been perceived as primitives, nomads and terror-mongers. They have been forsaken by their brothers, forcing them to be all the more aggressive, as a people united by culture and real humanitarian needs, to achieve or receive recognition as a UN-recognized Nation, with a seat at the world council body.

The Israelis, ironically the very same people that the late Yassir Arafat refused to accept as a nation with sovereignty, and wished to "push into the sea," provide most of the employment for Palestinians, many of whom work in Israel because that's were the industry and employment opportunities are. Life can be miserable when you are fed by a master whom you hate.

The UN, in an overwhelming vote, decided several weeks ago to recognize Palestine as anon-voting member state -- a precursor to acceptance as a voting state. Further this Palestinian victory, the UN has placed a placard for the Palestinian non-voting member state citing them as the "State Of Palestine."

Naturally, the USA and Israel have objected to this political and semantic victory because they believe that the Palestinians are really a "proxy country" for terrorist groups and their activities. This vision is not shared by the remainder of the voting membership. In fact, the USA and the UN have constantly been at odds since the first Bush administration.

Israel, understanding the UN process all too well (remember the vote in the UN where it was found that the term "Zionism" was actually racism against the Palestinians and other non-Jewish States"), is probably preparing for a political war with the United Nations, and a real war to keep its buffering border boundaries (hotly contested by many countries as being land stolen by the Israelis from Palestine, despite the fact that in most other historical cases where a nation (i.e., Palestine and several other Islamist combatants) attacked another nation (i.e., the State Of Israel), and the aggressor lost, it also lost treasures, territory and other things.

Israel, having been continually attacked from Palestinian locations, has kept its claim to its post-war borders, purportedly in the interest of self-defense of its citizenry and major strategic and industrial/military assets.

ABC News featured a fascinating article about this situation:

US Protests "State of Palestine" Placard in UN

US Ambassador objects to "State of Palestine" placard in Security Council's Mideast debate

The Associated Press

U.S. Ambassador Susan Rice objected Wednesday to the Palestinians' latest bid to capitalize on their upgraded U.N. status when their foreign minister spoke at the Security Council while seated behind a nameplate that read "State of Palestine."

It was the first Palestinian address to the Security Council since the U.N. General Assembly voted overwhelmingly on Nov. 29 to upgrade the Palestinians from U.N. observer to non-voting member state.
Rice said that the United States does not recognize the General Assembly vote in November "as bestowing Palestinian 'statehood' or recognition."

"Only direct negotiations to settle final status issues will lead to this outcome," Rice said.
"Therefore, in our view, any reference to the 'State of Palestine' in the United Nations, including the use of the term 'State of Palestine' on the placard in the Security Council or the use of the term 'State of Palestine' in the invitation to this meeting or other arrangements for participation in this meeting, do not reflect acquiescence that 'Palestine' is a state," she added.

Canadian Ambassador Guillermo E. Rishchynski also complained later that allowing the Palestinians to sit behind the "State of Palestine" nameplate "creates a misleading impression" and said Canada would oppose the Palestinians' attempts to upgrade their status in symbolic ways.
The U.N. General Assembly vote to upgrade the Palestinians' status was important because it gave sweeping international backing to their demands for sovereignty over lands Israel occupied in 1967, including east Jerusalem. But it did not actually grant independence to the 4.3 million Palestinians who live in the West Bank, east Jerusalem and the Gaza Strip.

In his speech to the Security Council, Palestinian Foreign Minister Riad Malki reiterated the Palestinian position that a two-state solution be based on the pre-1967 borders.

He also said that if Israel proceeds with plans to build settlements on a contentious tract of land east of Jerusalem, the Palestinians will file a case in the International Criminal Court.

Israel's envisaged construction of 3,500 apartments in the area known as E-1 would hinder Palestinian access to east Jerusalem from the West Bank. The Palestinians claim east Jerusalem as the capital of their future state.
"If Israel would like to go further by implementing the E-1 plan and the other related plans around Jerusalem, then yes, we would be going to the International Criminal Court," he said. "We would have no other choice. It depends on the Israeli decision. Israel knows very well our position."

Since winning recognition as a nonmember U.N. observer state, the Palestinians believe they now qualify for membership in the ICC, although that remains unclear.

In opposing the Palestinian bid for upgraded U.N. status, Israel cited Palestinian threats to turn to the ICC to prosecute Israeli officials for a variety of alleged crimes. Israel does not recognize the court's jurisdiction and believes its own actions do not violate international law, but officials are concerned legal action could embarrass the country.
Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas took another symbolic step to capitalize on the U.N. status two weeks ago, proclaiming that letterhead and signs would bear the name "State of Palestine."
Robert Serry, the U.N. special coordinator for the Middle East Peace Process, told reporters that the nameplate read "state of Palestine" because the U.N. Secretariat "is guided by the membership, which has pronounced itself on this issue" in the November General Assembly vote.
"At the same time, member-states have their rights to reserve their opinion" on U.N. decisions, he said. "That resolution does not diminish the need for negotiations to actually arrive at a two-state solution."
Israeli U.N. Ambassador Ron Prosor told the council that "the major obstacle to the two-state solution is the Palestinian leadership's refusal to speak to their own people about the true parameters of a two-state solution."













---------------

This has been a victory of propaganda and symbolism over a factual situation. It is also a sad case of irrelevance of words and denial of history, as well as ingrained, hard-wired behavioral psychology.

If Palestine becomes a voting member (The Internationalist Page Blog believes that it will, and fairly soon), it will likely try to use the UN as its principal weapon in regaining disputed territory, and in getting all manner of sanctions imposed by the UN against Israel on many bases -- some valid, many just symbolic.

As The Global Futurist Blog has predicted, all of this flag-waving, propaganda and symbolism are indeed important, but not nearly so important as the reality of what Israel is prepared to do despite the UN's pronouncements on the matter. As certain as the State Of Palestine will be given full voting status with a barrage of anti-Israeli pronouncements to follow, the reality will be more like this:

1) Israel will not be bound or recognize the pronouncements or demands of the UN. Israel is incredibly industrious, self-sufficient (except for contributions from Jewish and Zionist groups throughout the world and the United States government), and independent;

2) Both Israel and the United States will continue to belong to the UN, although neither truly feels a moral or legal imperative to be bound by its sanctions, pronouncements, and other symbolism and propaganda.

3) As instability in the Middle East ("Arab Spring") and Africa grows, and as Iran continues to escalate its saber-rattling and chest-thumping so too shall the strength of alliances between western nations and industrialized nations (both east and west) and Israel.

4) Sadly, the military atrocities will continue and grow as Palestine feels the shine of its new badge of recognition and is increasingly vocal against Israel -- with the support of the UN-at-large.

5) Palestine holds no real cards -- it is too dependent upon Israel for most of its "GDP" or inbound income. Israel might toughen up its stance regarding Palestinian workers coming into Israel, and that would destroy Palestine's economy, such as it is.

The world, as it exists, is ruled by financial and military power -- not by flags, badges, scrolls, screeds and sanctions. In fact, sanctions have a fabulous record of either ineffectiveness or failure - they are just words if they cannot be enforced.

Palestine would have done far, far better to accede to Israel's right to Statehood, and to have conducted these discussions behind closed doors and face-to-face with Israel. The spectacle of what is unfolding at the UN and being reported in the media will merely serve to flag the proverbial bull. As an Internationalist, I must also be a pragmatist.

"I hope for peace, even as I prepare for war," is echoing through the minds of too many Israelis now. And the Palestinians cannot get true statehood with clear geographical borders until they sit down at the negotiating table with Israel and speak as pragmatists and not as haters or propagandists.

As always, thank you for reading me, and for sharing my articles with your social media groups.

Douglas E. Castle





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Thursday, December 27, 2012

CLS - Country Limitation Schedule: EXIM Bank, USA

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If you conduct business with The Export-Import Bank of The United States, the Bank periodically publishes a list of countries which have limitations or restrictions placed upon them (usually in accord with U.S. political policy, with a respectful nod to those United Nations' sanctions, pronouncements, resolutions and other sentiments expressed in their many meetings) by the Bank in terms of their eligibility for EXIM's participation.

Following is the latest schedule which will likely be in effect at least for the first calendar quarter of 2013. The bulletin is excerpted from a regular notification which The Internationalist Page Blog and CrowdFunding Incubator LLC both receive:

You are subscribed to Country Limitation Schedule (CLS) for the Export-Import Bank of the United States.  This information has recently been updated, and is now available.

The Country Limitation Schedule (CLS) issued by the Export-Import Bank of the United States (Ex-Im Bank) has been updated. The new CLS is effective December 27, 2012.

The new CLS may be accessed on-line on December 27, 2012 at: http://www.exim.gov/tools/countrylimitationschedule/index.cfm. The CLS and Cover Letter are also attached as PDF files.

The CLS indicates where Ex-Im Bank is "open for cover" and where Ex-Im Bank is "off-cover". The "open for cover" designation refers to the possibility, rather than the certainty of Ex-Im Bank support in particular cases. Where the CLS presents an X mark, Ex-Im Bank is "off-cover", and is therefore not willing to consider approval of routine transactions. These "off-cover" determinations are due to economic and/or political risks associated with the country.

For more information on the Ex-Im Bank, please visit our website at:
http://www.exim.gov
---------------
Always remember that there are a number of EXIM banks throughout the world and situated in a number of countries. Each of these has the same basic agenda (i.e., to stimulate its home country's exports, and help with its Balance Of Trade and Balance Of Payments, et cetera). Without rendering any professional opinion or offering you any advice, a saavy businessperson can arbitrage the CLS and other differences in policies between these banks through re-domiciliation and a number of other devices to favorably arbitrage some very exciting business transactions.

As always, thank you for reading me and for re-tweeting me.

Douglas E. Castle

p.s. The notion Of "Going Green" is a major, growing trend, and will become increasingly involved in government policy-making, contracts and favors, as well as being heavily infused into the capital markets, including CrowdFunding - reference The Global Futurist Blog. Expect the EX-IM Banks in most of the industrialized nations to reflect this in their willingness to issue financing and guaranties.

p.p.s. "Always remember that one country's protectionism is another country's industry opportunity." -  Douglas E. Castle




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