Showing posts with label behavioral psychology. Show all posts
Showing posts with label behavioral psychology. Show all posts

Saturday, February 02, 2013

Palestine, Politics And The Symbols Of Statehood.

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For years, the Palestinian people have been like desert orphans. They have not had a geographical state with borders and boundaries (that has always been a severe problem), have had no recognition as a country or nation-state because governance has always been so inextricably interwoven with terrorism against Israel, the USA and the Jewish people in general.

Worse, the Palestinians were never duly absorbed into their surrounding Islamic brother nations, and they have been perceived as primitives, nomads and terror-mongers. They have been forsaken by their brothers, forcing them to be all the more aggressive, as a people united by culture and real humanitarian needs, to achieve or receive recognition as a UN-recognized Nation, with a seat at the world council body.

The Israelis, ironically the very same people that the late Yassir Arafat refused to accept as a nation with sovereignty, and wished to "push into the sea," provide most of the employment for Palestinians, many of whom work in Israel because that's were the industry and employment opportunities are. Life can be miserable when you are fed by a master whom you hate.

The UN, in an overwhelming vote, decided several weeks ago to recognize Palestine as anon-voting member state -- a precursor to acceptance as a voting state. Further this Palestinian victory, the UN has placed a placard for the Palestinian non-voting member state citing them as the "State Of Palestine."

Naturally, the USA and Israel have objected to this political and semantic victory because they believe that the Palestinians are really a "proxy country" for terrorist groups and their activities. This vision is not shared by the remainder of the voting membership. In fact, the USA and the UN have constantly been at odds since the first Bush administration.

Israel, understanding the UN process all too well (remember the vote in the UN where it was found that the term "Zionism" was actually racism against the Palestinians and other non-Jewish States"), is probably preparing for a political war with the United Nations, and a real war to keep its buffering border boundaries (hotly contested by many countries as being land stolen by the Israelis from Palestine, despite the fact that in most other historical cases where a nation (i.e., Palestine and several other Islamist combatants) attacked another nation (i.e., the State Of Israel), and the aggressor lost, it also lost treasures, territory and other things.

Israel, having been continually attacked from Palestinian locations, has kept its claim to its post-war borders, purportedly in the interest of self-defense of its citizenry and major strategic and industrial/military assets.

ABC News featured a fascinating article about this situation:

US Protests "State of Palestine" Placard in UN

US Ambassador objects to "State of Palestine" placard in Security Council's Mideast debate

The Associated Press

U.S. Ambassador Susan Rice objected Wednesday to the Palestinians' latest bid to capitalize on their upgraded U.N. status when their foreign minister spoke at the Security Council while seated behind a nameplate that read "State of Palestine."

It was the first Palestinian address to the Security Council since the U.N. General Assembly voted overwhelmingly on Nov. 29 to upgrade the Palestinians from U.N. observer to non-voting member state.
Rice said that the United States does not recognize the General Assembly vote in November "as bestowing Palestinian 'statehood' or recognition."

"Only direct negotiations to settle final status issues will lead to this outcome," Rice said.
"Therefore, in our view, any reference to the 'State of Palestine' in the United Nations, including the use of the term 'State of Palestine' on the placard in the Security Council or the use of the term 'State of Palestine' in the invitation to this meeting or other arrangements for participation in this meeting, do not reflect acquiescence that 'Palestine' is a state," she added.

Canadian Ambassador Guillermo E. Rishchynski also complained later that allowing the Palestinians to sit behind the "State of Palestine" nameplate "creates a misleading impression" and said Canada would oppose the Palestinians' attempts to upgrade their status in symbolic ways.
The U.N. General Assembly vote to upgrade the Palestinians' status was important because it gave sweeping international backing to their demands for sovereignty over lands Israel occupied in 1967, including east Jerusalem. But it did not actually grant independence to the 4.3 million Palestinians who live in the West Bank, east Jerusalem and the Gaza Strip.

In his speech to the Security Council, Palestinian Foreign Minister Riad Malki reiterated the Palestinian position that a two-state solution be based on the pre-1967 borders.

He also said that if Israel proceeds with plans to build settlements on a contentious tract of land east of Jerusalem, the Palestinians will file a case in the International Criminal Court.

Israel's envisaged construction of 3,500 apartments in the area known as E-1 would hinder Palestinian access to east Jerusalem from the West Bank. The Palestinians claim east Jerusalem as the capital of their future state.
"If Israel would like to go further by implementing the E-1 plan and the other related plans around Jerusalem, then yes, we would be going to the International Criminal Court," he said. "We would have no other choice. It depends on the Israeli decision. Israel knows very well our position."

Since winning recognition as a nonmember U.N. observer state, the Palestinians believe they now qualify for membership in the ICC, although that remains unclear.

In opposing the Palestinian bid for upgraded U.N. status, Israel cited Palestinian threats to turn to the ICC to prosecute Israeli officials for a variety of alleged crimes. Israel does not recognize the court's jurisdiction and believes its own actions do not violate international law, but officials are concerned legal action could embarrass the country.
Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas took another symbolic step to capitalize on the U.N. status two weeks ago, proclaiming that letterhead and signs would bear the name "State of Palestine."
Robert Serry, the U.N. special coordinator for the Middle East Peace Process, told reporters that the nameplate read "state of Palestine" because the U.N. Secretariat "is guided by the membership, which has pronounced itself on this issue" in the November General Assembly vote.
"At the same time, member-states have their rights to reserve their opinion" on U.N. decisions, he said. "That resolution does not diminish the need for negotiations to actually arrive at a two-state solution."
Israeli U.N. Ambassador Ron Prosor told the council that "the major obstacle to the two-state solution is the Palestinian leadership's refusal to speak to their own people about the true parameters of a two-state solution."













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This has been a victory of propaganda and symbolism over a factual situation. It is also a sad case of irrelevance of words and denial of history, as well as ingrained, hard-wired behavioral psychology.

If Palestine becomes a voting member (The Internationalist Page Blog believes that it will, and fairly soon), it will likely try to use the UN as its principal weapon in regaining disputed territory, and in getting all manner of sanctions imposed by the UN against Israel on many bases -- some valid, many just symbolic.

As The Global Futurist Blog has predicted, all of this flag-waving, propaganda and symbolism are indeed important, but not nearly so important as the reality of what Israel is prepared to do despite the UN's pronouncements on the matter. As certain as the State Of Palestine will be given full voting status with a barrage of anti-Israeli pronouncements to follow, the reality will be more like this:

1) Israel will not be bound or recognize the pronouncements or demands of the UN. Israel is incredibly industrious, self-sufficient (except for contributions from Jewish and Zionist groups throughout the world and the United States government), and independent;

2) Both Israel and the United States will continue to belong to the UN, although neither truly feels a moral or legal imperative to be bound by its sanctions, pronouncements, and other symbolism and propaganda.

3) As instability in the Middle East ("Arab Spring") and Africa grows, and as Iran continues to escalate its saber-rattling and chest-thumping so too shall the strength of alliances between western nations and industrialized nations (both east and west) and Israel.

4) Sadly, the military atrocities will continue and grow as Palestine feels the shine of its new badge of recognition and is increasingly vocal against Israel -- with the support of the UN-at-large.

5) Palestine holds no real cards -- it is too dependent upon Israel for most of its "GDP" or inbound income. Israel might toughen up its stance regarding Palestinian workers coming into Israel, and that would destroy Palestine's economy, such as it is.

The world, as it exists, is ruled by financial and military power -- not by flags, badges, scrolls, screeds and sanctions. In fact, sanctions have a fabulous record of either ineffectiveness or failure - they are just words if they cannot be enforced.

Palestine would have done far, far better to accede to Israel's right to Statehood, and to have conducted these discussions behind closed doors and face-to-face with Israel. The spectacle of what is unfolding at the UN and being reported in the media will merely serve to flag the proverbial bull. As an Internationalist, I must also be a pragmatist.

"I hope for peace, even as I prepare for war," is echoing through the minds of too many Israelis now. And the Palestinians cannot get true statehood with clear geographical borders until they sit down at the negotiating table with Israel and speak as pragmatists and not as haters or propagandists.

As always, thank you for reading me, and for sharing my articles with your social media groups.

Douglas E. Castle





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Sunday, December 20, 2009

Resignation to the Inevitable, or Self-Fulfilling Prophesy?

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Resignation to the Inevitable, or Self-Fulfilling Prophesy?

Written by author Douglas Castle for The Internationalist Page.

Dear Friends:

I do a tremendous amount of reading (more accurately, "scanning" of the news media) from as many different sources as I can find. I listen to the ravings of the right, the whinings of the left, and everything either in-between or defying political categorization. I do this in order to to determine, both intellectually and intuitively, where I stand on various issues.

As an Internationalist, I am not invested in anything political, philosophical, or ethical except in finding ways and means through which Humankind can survive long enough to evolve to a state of peace and prosperity. I am invested in the notion of ending Human suffering, to the extent that we, as responsible Humans ourselves, can rally the support, the critical mass and the momentum to end a recurring pattern of repeating history instead of planning and determining our own future.

I am, as are many others who are similarly-minded, tired of the swinging pendulum from one extreme to another that seems to entrap us from making any progress in rising out of the pit (my apologies to the late Edgar Allen Poe).

I blog about Braintenance (http://braintenance.blogspot.com/) and other other subjects having to do with behavioral psychology, the workings of the mind, entrainment, learning processes, self-growth and multitudinous other topics... This post is strictly pragmatic.

I do not usually read THE WEEK, but I had inadvertently clicked on a link to an article which was of immediate interest. The article, which is reproducedin summary below, is a rather dispiriting one. It speaks of the fact that recent surveys (the Pew Survey is mentioned here specificially) indicate that an increasing number of Americans surveyed believe that China has risen to a position of global power and prominence greater than that formerly acknowledged to be the province of the United States.

Regardless of the relative ranking of the two sovereigns side by side, I must wonder about how much of this situation is actually fueled by the discouragement, inertia and indolence associated with a negative self-fulfilling prophesy. I know that if I cannot visualize myself succeeding a something, I have automatically re-programmed myself to increase my likelihood of failure.

Without becoming too involved in scientific theory, I am wondering just how helpful it might be to the US economy, as well as other economies besieged by the disillusionment and hardship imposed upon them by the recent economic recession (and the accompanying emotional dampening -- the "poverty of spirit" -- that continues to cast its dark and heavy shroud over virtually every aspect of Human and International affairs) if a new and credible source of pure ideological hope were introduced.

We need hope, drawn or apported from some source as yet unidentified, in order to re-ignite our self-confidence, our optimism, our intracranial projection of a positive future, in order to create the change required to pull ourselves out of the quagmire of fated failure.

I cannot seem to bring myself to believe that anything is inevitable, except for the effect that the prevalent social psyche has on every nation's economy. Intuitively, I believe that we are caught in a maelstrom of a very persistent self-fulfilling prophesy, and that hope (some might say "faith") is the only catalyst that can re-set our dampened trajectory. 

Yes, we need real solutions to real problems. But we need the productive energy which is born only of hope in order to put those changes into effect.

Faithfully,

Douglas Castle, Internationalist
####

Have Americans given up on America?

In an unprecedented Pew study, a majority of Americans rank China as the No. 1 superpower. Are we losing faith?


Friday, December 4, 2009





Click here to find out more!

Best opinion: NY Times, Miller-McCune, Politics Daily


Global-power experts have predicted the rise of China for some time, but Americans already seem to think China’s eclipsed the U.S. According to a new Pew survey, 44 percent of Americans consider China the world's No. 1 economic power, while only 27 percent say so of America. (Just last year, the respective rankings were reversed.) Has America given up on being No. 1?

China has stolen our mojo: Can-do Americans used to be “famous for their energy and workaholism,” says David Brooks in The New York Times, but now the “astonishingly optimistic” Chinese are the ones who “salivate for the future." According to the poll, 86 percent of Americans see China heading in the right direction; less than half of respondents feel the same way about the U.S.
“The nation of futurity”

America is afraid: Viewing China as No. 1 economically is unprecedented, says Emily Badger at Miller-McCune. And a 53 percent majority of Americans view China’s emerging power as a “major threat” to the U.S. That doesn’t mean we want to deal with it, though—a record 49 percent said the U.S. “should mind its own business” internationally.
“A nation of ostriches and peacocks”

At least we still have military dominance: Though 41 percent say the U.S. plays a less important role on the world stage than a decade ago, says Bruce Drake in Politics Daily, we’re not feeling weak. A strong 63 percent still pick the U.S. as the world’s leading military power.
“As U.S. expands role overseas, survey finds isolationism on the rise”







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Thursday, December 03, 2009

Isolationism - A Dangerous Response to Economic and Emotional Depression.

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Isolationism - A Dangerous Response to Economic and Emotional Depression.

Note: This article was written by Douglas Castle for THE INTERNATIONALIST PAGE (http://TheInternationalistPage). The author is a Featured Columnist for THE NATIONAL NETWORKER Newsletter (a free subscription can be obtained at http://twitlik.com/IN). This article may not be reprinted, reproduced, republished or otherwise transmitted unless it appears in its entirety, with all attribution intact, and all hyperlinks live.

Dear Friends:

The article cited below this brief commentary appeared c/o Yahoo News! and was carried by Associated Press (AP). It is a sad treatise in predictable human behavior. Isolationism breeds incestuous reaffirmation of ill-conceived and inbred ideas; increasing fear of change; decreasing flexibility and adaptability; reduced trading opportunities for economic stimulus; reduced opportunities to find new friends and allies for personal and professional growth in the individuals;  suspicion and resentment amongst those who surround us in the Global Community but whom we cease to associate with or be concerned about; a culture of conformity, defensiveness and stagnation; and, a prolonged and deepened sense of loss in all quarters.

The isolationist road is a dangerous one for governments to take. Increased insularity amongst the population of a hurting nation, an apathy when it comes to affairs that are not in the immediate geographical locus and occuring only in the present moment (or in the anticipated tragedies of the near-term), and a dissociation from the greater world and potential future is tantamount to a return to feudalism. It is anti-evoluationry from the standpoint of beneficial individual and societal advancement.

Philosophically, the seeds of great change lie within us, to be found introspectively...but there exists an undeniable universe of greater possibilities in external exploration. We must employ both processes, and ignore neither.

As an Internationalist, as a Global Futurist, and as an ardent advocate of unlimited human potential, I am very fearful of the retreat and regression that invariably follows disappointment, or a loss of faith.

The channels of communication must be kept open. Curiosity and conversation must be encouraged. Sharing of greater amounts of information amongst a greater number of receptive minds (as in the collaborative aspect of the GICBC - The Global Interworked Cooperative Business Community) brings us closer to the "cerebral critical mass" needed to achieve breakthroughs for the improvement of the quality of life throughout all peoples of this world.

Let's not isolate. We must collaborate.

Faithfully,

Douglas Castle [ http://aboutDouglasCastle.blogspot.com ]
####  

 

Poll: Isolationism soars among Americans

By BARRY SCHWEID, AP Diplomatic Writer

WASHINGTON – Americans are turning away from the world, showing a tendency toward isolationism in foreign affairs that has risen to the highest level in four decades, a poll out Thursday found.
Almost half, 49 percent, told the polling organization that the United States should "mind its own business" internationally and let other countries get along the best they can on their own, the Pew Research Center survey found. That's up from 30 percent who said that in December 2002.
Results of the survey appear to conflict with President Barack Obama's activist foreign policy, including a newly announced buildup of 30,000 U.S. troops in Afghanistan to fight Taliban and al-Qaida extremists.
"Isolationist Sentiment Surges to Four-Decade High," the nonpartisan research center headlined its report on the poll about America's role in the world.
Only 32 percent of the poll respondents favored increasing U.S. troops in Afghanistan, while 40 percent favored decreasing them. And fewer than half, or 46 percent, of those polled said it was somewhat or very likely that Afghanistan would be able to withstand the radicals' threat.
Forty-one percent of those surveyed said the United States plays a less important and powerful role as a world leader than it did a decade ago, up from 25 percent who said that just before the Sept. 11, 2001, terrorist attacks, the report said.
Pew Research Center President Andrew Kohut said in an interview that the "very bad economy" appeared most responsible for the growth of isolationist sentiment. He said the public was also "displeased with the two wars we are waging, in Iraq and Afghanistan."
While isolationism and unilateralism reached four-decade highs among the public, the stature of China increased.
Among Americans polled, 44 percent said China was the world's leading economic power compared with 27 percent who named the United States. In February 2008, 41 percent said the U.S. was the leading economic power, while 30 percent said China.
A majority of Americans surveyed, or 53 percent, see China's emerging power as a threat to the United States.
The United States is seen by a comfortable majority, 63 percent, as the world's leading military power.
Concerning the Middle East, about half, or 51 percent, of respondents said they were more sympathetic toward Israel than to the Palestinians, who drew 12 percent. Fourteen percent supported neither side, while 19 percent offered no opinion.
The findings come from two surveys. The first poll, of 2,000 adults, was conducted by telephone Oct. 28 to Nov. 8 and had a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3 percentage points. A subsequent poll of 1,003 people conducted from Nov. 12-15 had a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.
___
On the Net:
The Pew Research Center for the People & the Press: http://people-press.org

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Monday, November 30, 2009

THE ROOT CAUSE OF THE "CREDIT CRISIS"

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THE ROOT CAUSE OF THE CREDIT CRISIS
"Overconsumption fueled with hyperleverage is akin to walking the tightrope (while inebriated) without a net below." -- Douglas Castle


Dear Friends:

The entire world can use a good object lesson from the United States about what actually creates a credit crisis. It is not simply the excesses of financial institutions, a lack of regulatory oversight, the government's propensity to tax or to print paper currency.

A credit crisis occurs because consumers, businesses and governments have become addicted to credit in the same manner as motorists have become addicted to fossil fuels. The United States economy has been systematically running on credit (the use of a third party's money for some length of time, with an obligation to repay on the part of the borrower) for so long that all parties involved have completely forgotten some of the fundamentals of a sound economy:

1.     Save some of your money for contingencies;
2.     Keep some equity on your balance sheet;
3.     Invest money at a rate which is dependably higher than the cost of borrowing;
4.     Do not speculate with borrowed funds;
5.     Always maintain a budget, and constantly monitor your performance against it;
6.     You must produce (i.e., add value) in order to become wealthier;
7.     Re-invest some of your profits in future growth -- don't bleed your organization dry so that you strip it of all protection in the event of a temporary economic downturn.

Every economic phenomenon has its roots in behavioral psychology. It is our thinking and the actions we take which are attributable to it that get us into economic problems. The popular cultural trappings of material wealth are illusory.

When a family has two leased high-line cars, a palatial home which is worth less than the mortgage against it, and is using one line of credit to refinance another (i.e., spending more time and effort refinancing than eliminating debt), to all appearances they may look wealthy. But beneath this veneer of "Hollywood wealth" lies the worrisome knowledge that the family's total income is $1.00 per month in excess of its fixed debt obligations, and that there aren't any savings...overconsumption fueled with hyperleverage is akin to walking the tightrope (while inebriated) without a net below.

You can read more about this phenomenon by clicking on:
http://reasonoutofrandomness.spaces.live.com/blog/cns!CE3AA43D3EBF46F5!176.entry


BRIEF COMMENTARY:

U.S. SOCIETY'S REAL CREDIT PROBLEMS DO NOT CONCERN GROWING CONSUMER OBSESSIONS IN THE ZERO SUM GAME OF KEEPING A "GOOD" CREDIT SCORE -- THIS PREOCCUPATION IS MERELY SYMPTOMATIC OF A SOCIETY THAT HAS GOTTEN LOST IN A PATTERN OF: 1) USING CREDIT TO FACILITATE NON-INCOME-PRODUCING PURCHASES AND PAYMENTS WITHOUT A PLAN FOR REPAYMENT; 2) USING CREDIT TO "BUY" AN INDEFINITE EXTENSION OF TIME [THE "BRIDGE TO NOWHERE" THEORY]; 3) CHRONIC CURRENT CONSUMPTION USING "OTHER PEOPLE'S MONEY"; AND 4) ACTUALLY DIS-SAVING IN LIEU OF SAVING OR INVESTING FOR THE FUTURE. -- Douglas Castle

Faithfully,
DC



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Monday, July 20, 2009

Economic Policymakers Should be Required to Study Behavioral Psychology

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Dear Friends:

Every economic policymaker should be required to study Behavioral Psychology. Recent monetary and fiscal moves by the government of the United States in response to its severe domestic economic recession have lead many in the International Community to wonder if the folks at the Fed, the Treasury Department and the Oval Office missed one too many classes in either history or behavioral psychology. Perhaps both.

Please read the following, excerpted from the Washington Post, by way of BuzzFlash:

Bailout Overseer Says Banks Misused TARP Funds
www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/07/19/AR2...sent by etspoon since 17 hours 11 minutes, published about 4 hours 10 minutes
"Many of the banks that got federal aid to support increased lending have instead used some of the money to make investments, repay debts or buy other banks, according to a new report from the special inspector general overseeing the government's financial rescue program. The report, which will be published Monday, surveyed 360 banks that got money through the end of January and found that 110 had invested at least some of it, that 52 had repaid debts and that 15 had used funds to buy other banks."-- Binyamin Appelbaum, Washington Post Staff Writer
tags: banks, bailout, criminality

My comment in response:
There is a terribly large "blind spot" in government policymaking. It is in the area of intersection between economic fixes (bailouts, awards, "infusions," which latter term is my favorite) and behavioral psychology. If you drop a large sum of money in a profligate child's lap, especially after he has proven himself to be a naughty bully as well as a terribly greedy and short-sighted lout, he will see it as encouragement (my more articulate colleagues would call this "positive reinforcement"). If you then fail to attach very specific terms and conditions to the use of that sum -- like, by way of example, making loans to consumers and the businesses that employ them -- as well as the clear and enforceable threat of substantial punishment for noncompliance, you've given the profligate more than just a gift; you have given him a gift at the expense of every consumer, every business and every taxpayer in the entire economy. Every so often, one of the government's policy pundits has to repeat the silly exercise of trying to put out a fire by pouring gasoline on it. And, invariably, he is compelled to do it in someone else's house. --DC

Faithfully,

Douglas Castle
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